A World of Change

This paper highlights that on September 29, , the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development World Bank began to offer discount notes under a short-term borrowing program approved by its Board last This paper has examined the relationship between the rate of economic growth in the non-oil developing countries and that in industrial countries, with the intention of appraising the effects of slower indus This section focuses on the relationship between the export growth of non-oil developing countries and their economic growth rates.

In brief, an attempt is made to identify the channels by which exports affe In this section we begin our investigation into how the rate of growth of real income in industrial countries affects the income growth rate in non-oil developing countries by considering the relationship be One of the more important yet puzzling aspects of the recent global stagflation has been the rather surprising resiliency of growth rates of real income in non-oil developing countries during the period in This paper reviews the World Bank's graduation policy.

Graduation of borrowers from the World Bank is a firmly established principle and has been a long-standing practice. Graduation is a logical step in the develo This paper reviews the 'significant impact' of World Bank lending for the rural poor. The paper highlights that a review of World Bank lending operations has found that 94 percent of the total investments compl This paper highlights that the Annual Meeting of the Board of Governors of the IMF affirmed the willingness of the IMF to evolve, under its charter, to meet new circumstances; but in some ways there was a depa This paper highlights that in a shift of policy, the World Bank decided to finance directly health projects in developing countries.

Under its old policy, formulated in , health components providing basic healt This paper highlights that the flow of IMF-related resources to member countries was maintained at a high level during , amounting to the equivalent of SDR 6, million, compared with SDR 4, million in The massive postwar reconstruction effort of the preceding decade led to vibrant growth in Europe and Asia.

Although Dylan probably did not have global production in mind, the world economy witnessed some truly unimaginable changes during the ensuing half century. Some low-income countries with chronic development problems started growing much faster and eventually became major contributors to global growth. The world economic order went through a tectonic transformation, accompanied by, and in part caused by, groundbreaking advances in science and technology and the rise of globalization.

How has the global economy changed since ? We present an eclectic answer to this question by summarizing some major changes over the past 50 years. The progress the world economy experienced during this period has been impressive.

A World of Change -- Finance & Development, September

There is still a glaring need for progress in many areas, but there is also cause for optimism. New technologies Had we written this article in , we would have used typewriters, not computers, and might have relied for background research on hard copies of journals and books. It could have taken many weeks to assemble the related statistics and to translate them into the charts. It could, as well, have taken several weeks to ship printed issues of the magazine to readers around the world.

Thanks to many technological developments over the past half century, today we have instant access to a vast array of information sources and are able to share new knowledge with the rest of the world in seconds. Rapid progress in communication and transportation technologies has facilitated major innovation in many other fields, radically changed how we work, raised productivity, and led to stronger international trade and financial links.

How we communicate has changed the most, as advances in computers and mobile technologies have revolutionized all mediums of communication. It was able to undertake basic computations, such as addition and multiplication.

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The introduction of the Internet to the public in started a new era in communication. The tremendous increase in Internet access has brought people, businesses, and countries closer, while mobile communication has become cheaper and more accessible.

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In , the first commercial communications satellite was launched from the United States, providing two-way telephone circuits. Today, there are about commercial communication satellites processing and transmitting information across the world, with a capacity that dwarfs In , there were five mobile phone subscriptions for every million people; today there are more than 90 for every people see Chart 1.

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New technologies have been making earlier modes of communication obsolete. With the rapid rise of wireless communication, landlines, for example, have declined during the past decade. The transportation sector has also gone through a major change over the past 50 years. Today, we can travel and ship goods much faster and more cheaply than a half century ago. With the availability of cheaper and faster communication and declining shipping costs, even small businesses have access to overseas markets.

Although annual global energy consumption from primary resources fossil fuel, natural energy, nuclear power has more than tripled over the past half century, technological improvements in the energy sector made production more efficient than ever. The global oil supply as a percent of total primary energy supply has also declined with increased supplies of natural gas, nuclear power, and renewable energy sources such as geothermal, solar, and wind.

Advances in communication and transportation technologies coincided with and fostered accelerated globalization as countries became more interdependent through a rapid increase in cross-border movement of goods, services, capital, and labor—and led to much faster diffusion of ideas and cultural products. The past 50 years have witnessed profound changes in the volume, direction, and nature of international trade: Intraregional trade flows have also become more prominent with the proliferation of regional trade agreements.

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Trade in manufacturing goods has grown rapidly, and led to cross-border supply chains—companies can now locate different stages of the production process in several countries. The change in international financial flows has been even more dramatic: As more countries have embraced the benefits of permitting the free movement of capital, international financial flows have increased markedly.


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The composition of international financial flows has also changed: Although the extent of integration of labor markets across countries is much lower than that of trade and financial markets, cross-border movements of labor have also registered a considerable increase over the past 50 years. About million people live as migrants today, up from 77 million in Two decades ago, people migrated mostly from developing to developed economies.

Regional migration between developing economies now exceeds migration to developed economies. New global actors A number of countries became independent during the past 50 years see Box 1. In much of this period, however, a bipolar world economy—composed of developing countries in the South and developed countries in the North—was the norm.


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The South consisted of mostly poor and labor-abundant economies that supplied agricultural products and raw materials to the North. The countries of the North were richer and more developed. They produced manufactured goods and accounted for the bulk of global trade and financial flows. Since the mids, however, some of the countries of the South, the so-called emerging market economies, have grown at an extraordinary pace while rapidly integrating into the global economy.

They have also diversified their production base and exports toward manufactured goods and services and away from agricultural products. While their shares of world population and labor force have remained relatively stable over the past 50 years, the emerging market economies have established a growing presence in every other economic dimension.

As a group, their share of global GDP nearly doubled see Chart 3. Their contribution to global growth was on average 30 percent between and , roughly half that of advanced economies in that period. Emerging market economies have also become the main engine of global trade while rapidly establishing stronger banking and other financial links with the rest of the world. Some emerging market economies have performed even better. The list of the 20 largest economies now includes South Korea and Indonesia, which were nowhere close a few decades ago.

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Painful interruptions The world economy is six times larger than it was half a century ago, growing at an annual rate of 4 percent during the period. New technologies have paved the way for more efficient production systems in a wide range of industries and promoted economic growth. From to , the average annual growth rate of world GDP per capita was about 2 percent, and in more than half of the past 50 years, the world grew faster than this average. As a result, global per capita GDP more than doubled between and despite a major increase in population see Chart 5.

But the global growth process itself has never been smooth. Many countries experienced financial crises that led to significant declines in their growth during the past half century see Box 2.