Again, it's not a contest. Gender roles screw everybody! Now here's the good news: Sexual assault has dropped in half since Culturally, we're doing an incredible job of fighting this problem, even if there's lots more to do. As with the thing about Millennials earlier, issues sometimes get louder in the national conversation as they improve. The same factors that reduced assaults cause us to notice them more, which causes us to talk about them more, which causes them to seem more common.
That's good in the sense that it encourages people to keep doing something about it assaults still happen with horrific frequency, I surely could have left that unsaid , but bad in the sense that it can create the impression that nothing has worked so far. I'm telling you as a kid who grew up in the '80s, these conversations about consent did not used to happen.
I watched comedies that played rape as a punchline. It was a whole genre. Male-dominated workplaces would logically be a deterrent to women, as it sends a message that they don't belong and, let's face it, boys clubs aren't any fun if you're not a boy and in many cases, even if you are.
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There are all sorts of initiatives to get more women into these fields right now, since those will be the only good jobs once everything is robots. This is good and should continue. Also, there is no evidence that the millions of women who aren't working in STEM wish they were. If something is still steering women away in these more progressive countries, it apparently starts early, way before they're even thinking about a career. The link in the paragraph above does show that boys get more encouragement in school teachers suggesting they could grow up to be engineers or whatever , and in fact, boys tend to be more confident in their ability to do science even when they're worse at it than the girls.
If so, we can surely agree that the goal is to A make sure every workplace is welcoming, regardless of gender and B make sure nobody is being made to feel weird about their choices, whether they want to be an engineer, housewife, soldier, or Instagram butt model. That goes for everyone -- another study found that when women are mistreated at work insulted, berated, etc.
This happens, according to the subjects, when they act assertive or dominant -- meaning that when they broke traditional gender norms, it was usually other women who punished them.
Well, you'll be happy to know that the rate of school shootings has been dropping for decades , and today kids are about ten times more likely to be killed walking or bicycling to school than they are to be fatally shot. Actually, most people are not happy to hear it, but we'll talk about that. Now, you may have recently seen a stat claiming there have been school shootings since Sandy Hook, but that's incredibly misleading.
Half of those are accidents, nonfatal incidents, or suicides, mostly on college campuses -- which are a huge problem, but not what a single person imagines when they hear "school shooting. The real public health hazard of firearms is suicide, but apparently everybody thinks that's boring. Anyway, I know why people hate seeing stats like this. They're afraid positive news will rob the gun control movement of urgency. But I never want to be relying on weaponized ignorance as a strategy, and there's something extremely important to note here: A single huge news event shouldn't be treated like a statistical trend.
These shootings should be treated like terror attacks, because that's what they are.
And just as we shouldn't harass Muslims after every ISIS attack since that's precisely what ISIS wants , we shouldn't target socially isolated kids as potential mass shooters. Incidents of bullying at school have been dropping since , when the government started keeping track. That's another supposedly unsolvable, inevitable part of life that turned out to be neither of those things. It took me a solid five years to figure out that terrorists are manipulating this particular flaw in the way information is spread: Humans tend to mistake the spectacular for the common.
The target isn't the victims, it's the viewers at home. They know that due to a glitch in the human brain, seeing news stories about one terror attack equals terror attacks. That's how a rare, statistical blip of an event can make million people afraid to leave the house. Mass shooters, like all terrorists, know this.
It's just not convenient to commit crimes with a rifle; it's only the most dedicated who'll take the trouble. By the way, I don't care if you want to heavily regulate assault rifles or high-capacity magazines. Make every gun owner pass six months of training and a Voight-Kampff Test. You're statistically more likely to be killed by someone's bare fists than by an assault rifle, and you're more than times more likely to die of any other cause than to be murdered by any method.
Those numbers keep going down because what we've been doing the last couple of decades to fight these problems has been working. Not that the average person realizes it. Experts can tell you that fear of crime isn't spread by crime -- it's spread by other people who are afraid of crime , even in low-crime communities.
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The whole reason mass killings occur in clusters is that we think the media attention triggers the next potential killer who's lying in wait. If they're living a power fantasy, their true power isn't in dealing death, it's in dealing fear. What psychopath can resist the prospect of a whole culture cowering before them? You may say that the news should just stop covering those shootings, but that's again talking about using structured ignorance as a problem-solving strategy. What needs to change is how we choose to react to it. So as I'm writing this, news broke that another young, unarmed black man was shot in his back yard , by officers who claim they mistook his cell phone for a gun.
Click that link if you want to watch the body camera footage of the whole thing, from the cameras the officers knew were on when they pulled the trigger. Or you can check out this story of two cops beating the shit out of a black man for jaywalking , captured clearly on nine different body cam videos. That brings us to the data none of us were hoping to hear: The largest study on the subject, done in Washington, D. Prior studies had shown mixed results -- in at least one case, fatal shootings actually went up. Like most data, it can be interpreted in any number of awful ways.
You can say that this proves the system is so corrupt that cops know they'll get off even with video, or that it proves cops always believed they were making the right decision in the moment, and that if anything, they were holding back before. You know what did reduce citizen complaints and result in fewer suspects being killed, according to one study?
Providing military gear to police. I don't want my police to have tanks, because I prefer not to live in a motherfucking dystopia. But this is the data we've got to work with, and we don't get to just hand-wave it away if we claim to believe in science. Oh, and while you're arguing among yourselves about this, go ahead and talk about that other huge study that found no link between poverty and violent crime.
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That "Mistaking the spectacular for the common" mechanism that makes Americans in quiet towns fear being gunned down by a mass shooter or beheaded by MS is at play here, too. Racists want you to believe they're taking over, but all that's growing is a fringe of highly visible, spectacular racism. Nice algorithm you've got there, guys. I love seeing these in my recommendations:. But overall, racist attitudes continue their sharp decline , even in the Trump era.
You're not seeing a turning of the tide in racism. You're seeing increasing polarization, the losing side getting louder and crazier. This includes intentionally staging appearances they know will draw protests so that they can play victim. The fact that the rest of us find them repulsive is what generates the noise. We're seeing the same thing happen with religion. This is maybe the least religious generation in the history of America , but what remains is the hardcore Evangelical Christians , who are going to get louder and more strident as this trend continues.
The fact that they're losing ground is the very thing that drives them. It just occurred to me why the NRA has gotten so flamboyant and cultish in recent years. Let me do a quick check The losers get louder. I bet you've never heard this stat before: Polls show low-income blacks are more optimistic about their futures than poor whites. The ones living in the South -- the worst place to be a poor black person, I'd assume -- are the most optimistic of all. More optimistic than rich people of the same race, even.
One reason Bernie Sanders couldn't get much traction among minorities in is that black Americans were much more likely to rate the economy as "good" in polls. Latinos, too -- they were much more likely than whites to say they expected their fortunes to improve in the next year. The most pessimistic group was the white people. In fact, the white suicide rate is surging , even though their prospects are statistically still much better. But statistics don't matter. So I felt like I knew him. And through the experience, he was able to make his offense work for different guys in different ways.
Part of it also is who is he throwing to? What are the things that Sterling Shepard does well? What are the things that Evan Engram does well? Odell Beckham does everything well, though there are some things he does better than others.
So you try to fit that. To those on the outside, rolling with Manning might look like a little bit of a gamble. And so the obvious question I had for Shurmur related to age. Did he see it watching Eli? It was, of course, easy to say that all along. The Giants showed us they mean it a few weeks ago. And my experience with him to this point tells me he still has a chance to play at a very high level.
Smart by the Raiders to limit their draft picks other than seventh-rounder Marcell Ateman to individual work at rookie minicamp last weekend, in an effort to preserve their health. They all basically trained for a track meet ahead of the combine, pro days and private workouts, and then traveled around for visits after that and just before the draft.
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Pushing them now can be risky. The Dolphins were trailblazers in that, by the way. Last year, to save the toll on the bodies of draft picks and college free agents worn down by the process, they held meetings and walkthroughs in lieu of practices during the time they were allotted for a rookie minicamp.
As of this writing, the plan was for Miami to do the same this weekend. The Vikings really went into the draft looking to address two areas. The other was offensive line. Over in Baltimore, I asked one staffer what stuck out in minicamp. And his response was simple: Sutton went eight picks later, to Denver, and Philly wound up with Dallas Goedert at 49 instead the Ravens and Eagles also swapped 4s as part of the deal.
Not a bad outcome for the champs. The Jets were pretty pleased with how Sam Darnold practiced on Sunday. You get to call the plays through your phone, and compete for cash as two teams go at it. Just download the app and sign up. The second game is tonight at 8: I was happy to hear from the people on the ground there that fifth-round pick Maurice Hurst , who plummeted on draft day because of a heart condition that was detected at the combine, flashed athletically in that limited work.
He has a chance to be a great value for the Raiders, getting him where they got him. The turning point for Lamar Jackson in Baltimore. Any team considering drafting Lamar Jackson had to have a plan for him.
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The Ravens, who dealt up to get him with the final pick of the first round, were no exception. Baltimore, in fact, did plenty of work in that regard, and it was that planning that led to a real milestone in the vetting process, which set the stage for what happened on that Thursday night in Texas. As the team started its final set of draft meetings, head coach John Harbaugh affirmed to GM Ozzie Newsome, assistant GM Eric DeCosta and the scouting side that his staff indeed had a plan that would work for both incumbent Joe Flacco and, should they be in position to take him April 26, Jackson.
And key to it all was experience. Morhinweg and Urban were offensive coordinator and QBs coach, respectively, for the Eagles in , when the team turned the page on the Donovan McNabb Era, with the intention of building an offense around second-round pick Kevin Kolb. So for these coaches, there was a blueprint should the opportunity to get Jackson come along. When it did, suffice it to say, the staff was excited to get to work on modernizing the scheme in a way that, they hope, will benefit both Flacco and Jackson.
What will that look like in ? And that offense, stocked with run-pass-options and movement, worked all the same for Nick Foles, pulling the veteran journeyman out of a mid-career funk and into a championship. Way too early talk about the quarterback class. There was always pressure on the four teams that took QBs in the Top 10 to get one this year, since each of them passed on the position high in the draft. The Browns took Myles Garrett at 1, and traded out of the spot that became Deshaun Watson; Jets took Jamal Adams at 6; Bills dealt out of the spot that became Pat Mahomes; Cardinals sat at 13, and watched both the Chiefs and Texans jump ahead of them to get their guys of the future.
Now, if they ascend, which they should, those three guys have a chance to get there. So what questions do they have to answer? There are questions about Finley as a teammate and his personality. You had the three aforementioned going into last year, Watson the year before that, Jared Goff and Paxton Lynch going into the college season, Jameis Winston and Marcus Mariota going into , and Johnny Manziel and Teddy Bridgewater going into —all were guys who were looked at way ahead of time as first-round prospects and actually making it there. Rookie Alvin Kamara emerged as a more dangerous and versatile weapon.
My sense is the Saints would lean towards leaving Kamara in that versatile role, against the temptation to use him more. According to Football Outsiders data, Ingram played snaps On top of that, when they were on the field together, the coaches were free to use Kamara as a matchup guy, which created all kinds of problems for defenses. And while Kamara had touches on offense, just of them were on the ground.
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Ideally, New Orleans would like to have a mudder emerge from the pack to get the offense through the first month of the season. Trey Edmunds, older brother of first-rounders Tremaine and Terrell, will get a look. What did the Browns see in Ward over Chubb?