We are increasing by 10, an hour. The median UN forecast is 9.
Every additional person needs food, water and energy, and produces more waste and pollution, so ratchets up our total impact on the planet, and ratchets down everyone else's share — the rich far more than the poor. By definition, total impact and consumption are worked out by measuring the average per person multiplied by the number of people.
Thus all environmental and many economic and social problems are easier to solve with fewer people, and ultimately impossible with ever more. Since we passed one billion in , our rising numbers and consumption have already caused climate change, rising sea levels, expanding deserts and the "sixth extinction" of wildlife.
Our growth has been largely funded by rapidly depleting natural capital fossil fuels, minerals, groundwater, soil fertility, forests, fisheries and biodiversity rather than sustainable natural income. Our global food supply is heavily dependent on cheap oil and water.
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Yet peak oil means rising prices, while irrigation is quarrying out vital aquifers in many countries. Thus our population rises at the same time as the number of people Earth can sustain shrinks, while spreading industrialisation and western consumption patterns only accelerate this process. The poor should get richer; but high birth rates, compounded by resource depletion and environmental degradation actively hinder development.
The crunch point is that indefinite population growth is physically impossible on a finite planet — it will certainly stop at some point.
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Either sooner through fewer births by contraception and non-coercive population policy, the "humane" way — or later through more deaths by famine, disease, war, the "natural" way. As Maurice Strong, secretary general of the Earth Summit put it: Some people, notably George Monbiot, argue that western over-consumption is the sole culprit, so criticising expanding population means "blaming the victims".
Of course he is right that our self-indulgent lifestyles are grossly inequitable, and must become much more modest — each additional Briton has the carbon footprint of 22 more Malawians, so the 10 million more UK people the ONS projects for would equate to million more Malawians.
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Why current population growth is costing us the Earth | Roger Martin | Environment | The Guardian
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